Trade, War, and China in the 21st Century
Beyond TPP – Does America Need a New Global Strategy?
9:45 to 10:45: Panel I - The World in Pieces: Challenges to the International Order
For 75 years, the world has moved slowly but steadily to greater industrial and financial integration, and in some regions to greater political integration. Most citizens of the U.S. came to assume that further integration was inevitable – and beneficial. But today this is suddenly no longer such a clear-cut case. On the contrary, there is a fast growing public sense of disintegration and incipient conflict.
Question: What are the biggest political threats to the postwar system?
Bay Fang (Moderator) is the Managing Director of East Asia for Radio Free Asia. Previously, she served as a Deputy Assistant Secretary of State overseeing public affairs for Europe and Eurasia and was a Senior Fellow at New America’s International Security Program.
Jennifer Harris is a Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and the author of War By Other Means: Geoeconomics and Statecraft. Her work has appeared in the New York Times, Washington Post, Foreign Affairs, and other news outlets. She specializes in US foreign policy, economic statecraft, and US-China relations.
Clyde Prestowitz is the founder and President of the Economic Strategy Institute. He served as Counselor to the Secretary of Commerce in the Reagan Administration where he led negotiations with Japan and China. He also served as Vice Chairman of President Clinton’s Special Commission on Trade and Investment in the Asia-Pacific Region and was appointed to the Advisory Board of the U.S. Import-Export Bank. He is the author of several books on global affairs including: Trading Places, Asia After the Miracle, Rogue Nation, Three Billion New Capitalists, The Betrayal of American Prosperity, and, most recently, Japan Restored. His articles appear frequently in the New York Times, the Financial Times, Foreign Policy, and many other journals.
Orville Schell is the Arthur Ross Director of the Center on US-China Relations at Asia Society and a former professor and dean at the University of California, Berkeley. He is the author of fifteen books, the majority of which are about China, including his most recent book, Wealth and Power. He also writes for the Atlantic, the New Yorker, Time, and many other magazines and newspapers.
Randall Schriver is CEO and president of the Project 2049 Institute, a non-profit that researches security trends in Asia, and a Founding Partner of Armitage International, a consulting firm focusing on international business development. Previously, he was the Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs.
11 to 12:15: Panel II – Industrial Interdependence and War
Thomas Friedman in The World is Flat famously wrote: “No two countries that are both part of a major global supply chain… will ever fight a war against each other.” But China’s increasingly provocative behavior in the East and South China Seas increasingly challenges that conventional belief.
Question: In the event of conflict in the South China Sea, what happens to the U.S. economy and U.S. supply chains?
Sharon Burke (moderator) is a senior advisor to New America, where she focuses on international security and a new program, Resource Security, which examines the intersection of security, prosperity, and natural resources. Previously, Ms. Burke served as the assistant secretary of Defense for Operational Energy, a new office that worked to improve the energy security of U.S. military operations.
Shane Harris is a fellow at New America and a senior correspondent at the Daily Beast where he writes on national security, intelligence, and cyber security. He is also the author of @War: The Rise of the Military-Internet Complex and The Watchers. Previously, he worked at Foreign Policy and the Washingtonian covering national security.
Christopher Gopal is an expert in global supply chain strategies and operations management. He is the co-author of three books including Supercharging Supply Chains and was a former senior operations executive at several leading global companies and consultancies.
Barry Lynn is a senior fellow and director of the Open Markets Program at New America. He is also the author of Cornered: The New Monopoly Capitalism and the Economics of Destruction and End of the Line: The Rise and Coming Fall of the Global Corporation. Previously, he was the executive editor of Global Business Magazine and worked as a correspondent in Peru, Venezuela, and the Caribbean.
12:30-1:30 Panel III - Hollywood and Beijing
In the 1990s, President Bill Clinton, in his major strategic statement on U.S.-China relations, famously said that the Internet and Hollywood would liberalize China, by bringing American values and American culture to Chinese citizens. But two decades later, it’s clear that’s a two-way street.
Question: As Silicon Valley and Hollywood come to depend more on Chinese profits, who’s really the boss?
Robert Cain is a film producer and media consultant who focuses on US-China co-productions. He is a partner in the film production company Pacific Bridge Pictures, and through his blog ChinaFilmBiz and as a contributor to Forbes, he writes about China’s filmed entertainment industry. He has produced multiple China-related films and shows including Mongol, and The Three Tenors in the Forbidden City.
James Kirchick (Moderator) is a journalist and a foreign correspondent. He is a correspondent for the Daily Beast and a fellow with the Foreign Policy Initiative. His work on domestic politics and American foreign policy has appeared in many global newspapers including the Washington Post, the New York Times, Britain’s Prospect and Spectator, Canada’s National Post, and the Australian.
Aynne Kokas is a professor of media studies at the University of Virginia where she focuses on the interaction between Chinese and US media and technology industries. Her book Hollywood Made in China, which analyzes the implications of US media investment in China, is forthcoming with the University of California Press in February 2017.
Patric M. Verrone is a television writer, attorney and former president of the Writers Guild of America, West. He has been nominated for 11 Emmys in four categories and won three. He has written for The Tonight Show Starring Johnny Carson, The Larry Sanders Show, The Simpsons, Rugrats, and Futurama, among others.
Ying Zhu is a professor of media culture at the City University of New York, College of Staten Island. She has published eight books on China and media including Two Billion Eyes: The Story of China Central Television and Chinese Cinema during the Era of Reform. She also produces current affairs documentary films about China and is the author of the forthcoming Film as Soft Power and Hard Currency: The Sino-Hollywood Courtship.
1:30 to 2:30: Panel IV – Systems and Power: Who Really Rules?
Since WWII the U.S. has been the main regulator of the world monetary and energy systems. The U.S. for many years was also the main regulator of industrial and scientific activity and of trade in food, metals, and other commodities. But today it is increasingly China that wields these powers.
Question: Were there basic intellectual and political flaws in the regulatory systems established in the 1990s that are responsible for the rapid shift of power to China?
Elana Broitman is a shareholder at the international law firm Greenberg Traurig, LLP where she provides expertise on foreign investment in the United States, cybersecurity, defense procurement, and sanctions. Previously, she served as the Deputy Assistant Secretary for Manufacturing and Industrial Base Policy at the Department of Defense, where she represented the department on the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, and before that, she was a senior advisor to Senator Kirsten Gillibrand on foreign relations.
Haley Sweetland Edwards is a correspondent at Time and an author. She published a book earlier this month called Shadow Courts: The Tribunals That Rule Global Trade in which she analyzes a provision in trade agreements that allows foreign investors to sue sovereign nations outside their court system.
Ralph Gomory is the former senior vice president for science and technology at IBM and the former president of the Sloan Foundation. He is a well-known mathematician and was awarded the National Medal of Science by President Reagan. He currently researches the complexities of the globalized economy and the differing goals of countries and companies. He is co-author of the MIT Press book Global Trade and Conflicting National Interests.
Alan Riley is a Senior Fellow at the Institute for Statecraft, Temple Place, London, and Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Atlantic Council, Washington DC. He specializes in energy, antitrust, and security issues. He has a major paper appearing shortly on the Nordstream 2 pipeline project, with the Centre for European Policy Studies, Brussels and has a book on China, The Potemkin Dragon: China-A Danger to Itself and the World, which is being published by Amazon.
Matthew Stoller (Moderator) is a budget analyst on the Senate Budget Committee and the senior policy advisor to Senator Bernie Sanders. His focus in on industrial organization, monopoly power, and market structure, and his writing has appeared in the New York Times, Vice, Salon, the New Republic, and the Nation.