Table of Contents
- Executive Summary
- Why This Moment Is Ripe for Direct Democracy
- What Are Citizen-Initiated Ballot Measures?
- A Short History of Citizen-Initiated Ballot Measures
- Lessons from Reform Leaders and Coalitions
- Analysis of Adoption Trends: Strategic Takeaways from History
- Assessing State Readiness: Preliminary Criteria and Methodology
- Conclusion: The Future of Citizen-Initiated Ballot Measures
- Appendix
Why This Moment Is Ripe for Direct Democracy
The structural ailments that prompted the first wave of initiative adoption during the Progressive Era—elite capture of legislatures, lack of responsiveness to public needs, sky-high economic inequality, and widespread mistrust of representative institutions—have returned or taken new form, creating renewed demand for direct democracy.
Across the country, state legislatures are increasingly insulated from public accountability due to gerrymandering, partisan supermajorities, and low electoral competition. Simultaneously, public confidence in representative government is at historic lows.1
Recent research underscores that citizen-initiated ballot measures offer a reliable corrective in such environments. States with active initiative processes show greater policy alignment with public preferences, especially on issues like Medicaid expansion, minimum wage increases, marijuana legalization, and reproductive rights.2 Even when initiatives do not pass, their mere presence on the ballot can pressure lawmakers to act. Similarly, the sound rejection of citizen-initiated referendums may induce moderation, especially among extremely conservative legislators.3
“States with active initiative processes show greater policy alignment with public preferences, especially on issues like Medicaid expansion, minimum wage increases, marijuana legalization, and reproductive rights.”
Initiatives are not only effective—they are popular. A 2017 Pew survey found that 67 percent of Americans support giving citizens the power to vote directly on laws.4 Support is especially high among voters who feel alienated from state legislatures, making initiatives both a democratic outlet and a tool for restoring civic trust.
These findings suggest that initiatives serve a deeper purpose than delivering individual policy wins: The process itself can be a structural corrective to legislative drift. Initiatives allow broadly held public preferences to reassert themselves, not only by passing new laws but by pressuring unresponsive lawmakers to pay attention to issues that matter to ordinary voters and by legitimizing citizen voice.
They also serve a vital function in democratic resilience and legitimacy. In recent years, initiatives have played a pivotal role in safeguarding rights in states where legislatures have moved in the opposite direction. Since the fall of Roe v. Wade, voters in states like Missouri, Michigan, Arizona, and Ohio used the initiative process to protect or expand abortion access—often defying the preferences of entrenched legislative majorities. These were not isolated cases but part of a broader pattern: Where other branches of government fail or falter, direct democracy can offer a constitutional release valve for public discontent.
“Where other branches of government fail or falter, direct democracy can offer a constitutional release valve for public discontent.”
Today, as authoritarianism distorts and dismantles core democratic norms, this release valve matters more than ever. By sharing power and allowing voters to set policy agendas and enact laws, initiatives help inoculate democratic systems against capture by both elites and demagogues. They offer a channel for political energy that illiberal movements might otherwise co-opt.
While imperfect, initiatives remain among the few tools available to ordinary citizens to recalibrate policy and check electoral and governance deficiencies in moments of institutional weakness or failure. For that reason alone, their expansion to every corner of the United States deserves serious attention from democracy defenders and reformers alike.
Citations
- “Public Trust in Government Near Historic Lows,” Pew Research Center, June 24, 2024, source.
- John G. Matsusaka, “Popular Control of Public Policy: A Quantitative Approach,” Quarterly Journal of Political Science 5 no. 2 (2010): 133–167; Mary Ellen Klas and Carolyn Silverman, “This Is Why You Don’t Recognize Your State Government,” Bloomberg, October 22, 2024, source; Maresa Strano, A Case for (Responsibly) Expanding Citizen-Led Policymaking in the United States (New America, 2025), source.
- Elisabeth R. Gerber, “Legislative Response to the Threat of Popular Initiatives,” American Journal of Political Science 40 no. 1 (1996): 99–128; John G. Matsusaka, “Fiscal Effects of the Voter Initiative: Evidence from the Last 30 Years,” Journal of Political Economy 103 no. 3 (1995): 587–623, source; John G. Matsusaka and Nolan M. McCarty, “Political Resource Allocation: Benefits and Costs of Voter Initiatives,” Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 17 (October 2001): 413–448, source; Vladimir Kogan, “When Voters Pull the Trigger: Can Direct Democracy Restrain Legislative Excesses?,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 41 no. 2 (2016): 297–325, source.
- Richard Wike, Katie Simmons, Bruce Stokes, and Janell Fetterolf, “Globally, Broad Support for Representative and Direct Democracy,” Pew Research Center, October 16, 2017, source.