Heather Hurlburt wrote for The National Interest about the possibility of political action on climate change.
Our politics, too, look like a five-hundred-year storm whose clouds may never lift. From the amount of acrimony over disaster relief to flood-swamped Texas, it would be easy to conclude that partisan polarization over climate change is as deep and hopeless as ever. But that would be wrong. Underneath the tumult, the outlines of what could form cross-partisan coalitions are clear. Whether the impetus is the aftermath of Hurricane Harvey this year, or a rise in energy prices next year, or an effort to reshuffle political coalitions before the 2020 presidential elections, we will see cross-partisan initiatives that reshape our energy and climate policies. That is clear. Whom they benefit, who pays the cost, and whether they have enough effect to slow warming is very much up in the air—and up to how organizers choose to use cross-partisan energies now.
First, partisan splits on climate are narrowing, and the regional differences we see playing out in congressional rhetoric aren’t actually matched on the ground. Majorities of citizens in every state favor actions to blunt the effects of climate change, such as regulating CO2 as a pollutant, limiting CO2 emissions for existing coal fired power plants, and requiring 20 percent of utilities’ electricity to come from renewable resources. So public opinion isn’t actually the stumbling block.
Second, responding to climate change is not one single thing with one set of partisan ramifications. David Roberts at Vox helpfully breaks down the difference between adaptation—changing policies and practices to deal with a hotter, wetter world—and mitigation, which is the effort to slow or reverse changes to the climate. Adaptive measures are the bread and butter of local politics—zoning, insurance, building codes, hardened infrastructure, emergency response. They will expose divisions even more basic than ideology—who benefits, and who bears the costs. There is reason to worry about whether our fractured politics can take on these challenges comprehensively, but much reason for optimism that they can be done. What political forces will choose to focus on adaptation challenges; whether extreme weather and temperature and sea change concerns are factored into federal conversations about infrastructure; how resources are divided between weather-proofing poorer neighborhoods and shoring up expensive beach real estate—those are all challenges that aren’t stopped by gridlock and are influenced by many forces beyond partisanship.