Future of War

First Annual Conference

Photo: New America

When

February 24, 2015 - February 25, 2015

8:00 am - 5:00 pm

Where

Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center

1300 Pennsylvania Ave NW

Washington, DC 20004

The First Annual Future of War Conference brings together a diverse, interdisciplinary collection of experts to discuss the profound social, political, economic, and cultural implications of the changing nature of war and conflict. The theme of the event is “How is Warfare Changing?,” which we explore through a consideration of three sub-themes: “How Are Emerging Technologies and Strategies Redefining the Practice of War?;” “Are We Living in a Forever War?;” and “Can We Better Understand How Warfare is Evolving by Reflecting on History?” The conference also launches the Future of War Project, which links New America, a DC-based think tank and civic engagement enterprise, and Arizona State University, one of the nation’s largest and most innovative public research universities.

CNN is the leading media partner for the conference and will live-stream panels on CNN.com. DefenseOne will also be a media partner for this event.

Agenda:

Tuesday February 24, 2015

8:00 AM– 8:30AM: Registration and Breakfast

8:30 AM – 8:50 AM: Welcome and Opening Remarks

Dr. Michael Crow
President, Arizona State University

Dr. Anne-Marie Slaughter
President and CEO, New America

9:00 AM – 9:50 AM: Machines That Kill: Will We Rely on Autonomous Weapons?

Dr. Peter W. Singer 
Strategist and Senior Fellow, New America; Author, Ghost Fleet: A Novel of the Next World War (forthcoming)

Moderator:

Peter Bergen
Vice President, Director of Studies, New America; Professor of Practice, Arizona State University; Co-Director, Future of War Project

9:50 AM – 10:40 AM: Climate Change, Pandemics, and the Competition for Prosperity: Planning for Non-Military Security Challenges

Nadya Bliss
Director, Global Security Initiative, Arizona State University

Col. Troy Thomas
Director for Strategic Planning, National Security Council; Officer, United States Air Force

Moderator:

The Honorable Sharon Burke
Senior Advisor, International Security Program, New America; Former Assistant Secretary of Defense for Operational Energy Plans and Programs, U.S. Department of Defense

10:50 AM – 11:30 AM: Continuities and Change in Future Armed Conflict

Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster
Deputy Commanding General, Army Capabilities Integration Center, U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command

11:30 AM – 12:00 PM: Striking a Balance: Authorizing the Future Use of Military Force

Heather Hurlburt
New America

The Honorable Harold Koh
Yale Law School

Moderator:

Jake Tapper
Chief Washington Correspondent; Anchor, The Lead, CNN

12:00 PM– 12:30 PM: Lunch

12:40 PM– 1:20 PM: How Will the Digital Biology Revolution Transform Conflict?

Dr. Gaymon Bennett
Assistant Professor of Religion, Science, and Technology, Arizona State University

Dr. Gary Marchant
Lincoln Professor of Emerging Technologies, Law, and Ethics; Faculty Director of the Center for Law, Science, and Innovation, Arizona State University

1:30 PM – 1:40 PM: The Kill Switch

Phil Zabriskie
Author, The Kill Switch; Former Staff Writer, TIME Magazine

Introduction:

Peter Bergen
Director, International Security Program, New America

1:40 PM– 2:20 PM: How Will Technology Shape the Future of War?

Moderator:

Barbara Starr
Pentagon Correspondent, CNN

Dr. Arati Prabhakar
Director, Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency

2:20 PM– 3:00 PM: What is Cybersecurity at Home?

The Honorable Suzanne Spaulding
Under Secretary, National Protection and Programs Directorate, U.S. Department of Homeland Security

Moderator:

Alan Davidson 
Vice President, Open Technology Institute, New America

3:10 PM– 4:00 PM: How Should We Adjust the Laws of War to Address the Changing Nature of Conflict?

Naz Modirzadeh
Founding Director, Program on International Law and Armed Conflict, Harvard Law School

Moderator:

Rosa Brooks
Professor, Georgetown University Law Center; Senior Fellow, International Security Program, New America

4:10 PM– 5:00 PM: The Tyranny of Distance: What is the Future of U.S. Maritime Security?

Adm. Michelle Howard
Vice Chief, Naval Operations, U.S. Navy

Moderator:

Jim Sciutto
Chief National Security Correspondent, CNN

Wednesday February 25, 2015 8:00 AM–5:00 PM

8:00 AM– 8:30 AM: Registration and Breakfast

8:30 AM– 9:30 AM: Reflections on the Future of War

Moderator:

Wolf Blitzer 
Anchor, The Situation Room, CNN

Gen. Raymond Odierno
Chief of Staff, U.S. Army

9:40 AM– 10:30 AM: What Do Lessons from History Tell Us About the Future of War?

Moderator:

Michael Lind
ASU Future of War Fellow; Co-Founder, New AmericaDr. Philip Bobbitt – Herbert Wechsler Professor of Federal Jurisprudence; Director, Center for National Security Law; Columbia Law School; Author, The Shield of Achilles

Sir Lawrence Freedman
Professor of War Studies, King’s College London; Author, Strategy: A History

Dr. Ian Morris
Jean and Rebecca Willard Professor of Classics and Professor of History, Stanford University; Author, War: What Is It Good For?

10:40 AM– 11:10 AM: Why is Violent Conflict Decreasing in the Long-term?

Daniel Rothenber
Professor of Practice, Arizona State University; Fellow, New America; Co-Director, Future of War Project

Dr. Steven Pinker
Johnstone Family Professor, Department of Psychology, Harvard University; Author, The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined

11:20 AM– 12:00 PM: How Will the Wars of the 21st Century be Fought?

Dr. David Kilcullen
Chairman, Caerus Global Solutions; ASU Future of War Senior Fellow, New America; Author, The Accidental Guerilla and Out of the Mountains

Dr. Peter W. Singer
Strategist and Senior Fellow, New America; Author, Ghost Fleet: A Novel of the Next World War (forthcoming)

Moderator:

Dr. Anne-Marie Slaughter
President and CEO, New America

12:00 PM – 12:30 PM: Lunch

12:30 PM – 12:40 PM: Personal Reflection – The Next Generation of Cyberwar

Introduction:

Dr. Peter W. Singer
Strategist and Senior Fellow, New America; Author, Ghost Fleet: A Novel of the Next World War (forthcoming)

Midshipman Zane Markel
Midshipman, Center for Cyber Security Studies, U.S. Naval Academy

12:40 PM– 1:10 PM: Will There be a Nuclear War in South Asia?

Gordon Lubold 
Senior Military Writer, DefenseOne – Director, South Asia Programs, U.S. Institute of Peace

1:10 PM– 1:40 PM: Is a Long Peace Possible in Asia? How Does China See the Future of War?

Philippe Le Corre
Visiting Fellow, Center on the United States and Europe, Brookings Institution Dr. Sheldon Simon – Director, Center for Asian Studies, Arizona State University

Moderator:

Bay Fang
Senior Fellow, International Security Program, New America; Former Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs, U.S. Department of State

1:40 PM – 1:50 PM: Personal Reflection – Life as a Mayor in Wartime Iraq

Introduction:

Col. Joel Rayburn
Adjunct Fellow, International Security Program, New America; Author, Iraq After America: Strongmen, Sectarians, Resistance

Maj. Gen. Najim Abed al-Jabouri
Distinguished Research Fellow, Near East South Asia Center for Strategic Studies, National Defense University; Former Mayor, Tal Afar, Iraq

1:50 PM – 2:30 PM: What Does the Rise of ISIS Tell Us About the Future of War?

Dr. Hassan Abbas
Professor, National Defense University; Author, The Taliban Revival

Dr. Douglas Ollivant
Partner, Mantid International; ASU Future of War Senior Fellow, New America; Former Director for Iraq, National Security Council

Emma Sky
Senior Fellow, Jackson Institute for Global Affairs, Yale University; Former High Level Advisor in Iraq for the U.S. and U.K. Governments

Moderator:

Dr. Tara Maller
Associate Director for Strategic Communications, Franklin Project, Aspen Institute; Research Fellow, International Security Program, New America

2:30 PM – 3:00 PM: How Do You Defeat a Networked Enemy Like ISIS? Lessons from Joint Special Operations Command

Col. (Ret.) Ioannis Koskinas
CEO, Hoplite Group; Senior Fellow, International Security Program, New America; Retired U.S. Air Force Officer, Special Operations

Moderator:

Peter Bergen
Vice President, Director of Studies, New America; Professor of Practice, Arizona State University; Co-Director, Future of War Program

3:10 PM– 3:50 PM: What Human Rights Will Be Most at Risk in Future Wars?

Moderator:

Dr. Karen Greenberg
Director, Center on National Security, Fordham University School of Law

Daniel Rothenberg
Professor of Practice, Arizona State University; Fellow, New America; Co-Director, Future of War Project

3:50 PM– 4:30 PM: Is the Pentagon Adapting Fast Enough?

Tom Ricks
Senior Advisor for National Security, International Security Program, New America; Contributing Editor, Foreign Policy

Moderator:

Kevin Baron
Executive Editor, DefenseOne

4:30 PM– 5:00 PM: How Will Congress Shape the U.S. Military of the Future?

Sen. John McCain
U.S. Senator, Arizona; Chairman, Senate Armed Service Committee